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专家估算台湾观光产业上半年损失1500亿以上

2020-02-27

原标题:专家估算台湾观光产业上半年损失1500亿以上

台湾日月潭。(图片来源:新华网)

台湾优质旅游发展协会理事长、台北城市科技大学观光系助理教授李奇岳接受香港中评社采访时表示,这波疫情影响全世界经济,就台湾观光产业为例,一年1186万观光人次可能至少掉877万人次。估算损失,今年上半年整个旅行业产值会消退约新台币1500亿以上,下半年影响得看疫情控制的情况。

李奇岳表示,去年起陆客团大幅减少,去年8月陆客赴台个人游喊停,已让大部分专做陆客团的观光产业蒙受损失,受这次疫情影响,台湾地区流行疫情指挥中心扩大管制,日韩泰到台湾的人都要隔离检疫或自主健康管理14天,几乎影响全部观光产业。

他以台湾观光管理部门最新公布资料指出,2019年1至2月外人赴台观光总数为1186万4105人次。其中,排名第一的是陆客271万4065人;排名第二是日本216万7952人次;第三是港澳地区175万8006人次;第四是韩国124万2598人次。

他指出,如果把大陆、港澳地区合计,共有447万2071人,等于是赴台观光人次最大宗,接近观光人次总数的一半。如果加上日韩,等于788万2621人次,几乎到观光总人次的三分之二强;如果再加新加坡46万0635人次、泰国41万3926人次、以及意大利2万0115人次,总数就是877万7297人次,等于这波疫情会少掉这些观光人次。

李奇岳说,如果看观光产业的从业人数,举凡旅行社、导游、领队、饭店、民宿乃至餐饮业至少100万,而且这波疫情影响的不只观光业,几乎所有产业都“中镖”,相较之下,观光产业只占台湾GDP的3%左右,反而在所有产业里的影响算是小的,但即使如此,损失仍属可观且普遍。

他表示,因为以损失的观光产值来估算,今年上半年,整个旅行业的产值约新台币1500亿以上会消退,下半年会影响多少得看疫情。(中国台湾网 李丹)

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